The gambling market is already reacting to the news of the US arrest and detention of dictator Nicolas Maduro. Oddsmakers at BetOnline.ag do not predict the US will use military force against Venezuela before April, with the figure representing only a 20% chance of an invasion, as President Donald Trump has said the US will “govern” Venezuela in the short term.
How about Venezuela becoming the 51st state? There’s a large camp that thinks that could happen given the country’s oil supply, but the 7/2 odds below give it only a 22% chance. With Maduro in custody, many have speculated that President Trump will target Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei next. It is unlikely that Khamenei will be arrested before next year. Finally, returning to Venezuela, while Maduro is likely to be convicted this year, there is a slim chance that María Colina Machado will become Venezuela’s president.
View Venezuela prop bets here: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-futures/venezuela
Will the US Congress authorize military force against Venezuela by April 1, 2026?
Yes 4/1 (+400)
No 1/7 (-700)
Will Nicolas Maduro be convicted in a US court by January 1, 2027?
Yes 2/3 (-150)
No 11/10 (+110)
Will Maria Colina Machado become president of Venezuela before January 1, 2027?
Yes 5/6 (-120)
No 5/6 (-120)
Will Ali Khamenei step down as Iran’s Supreme Leader by January 1, 2027?
Yes 11/10 (+110)
No 2/3 (-150)
Which state will be the 51st state in President Trump’s second term?
Greenland 5/2 (+250)
Puerto Rico 5/2 (+250)
Venezuela 7/2 (+350)
US Virgin Islands 7/1
Guam 8/1
Canada 10/1
Washington DC 10/1
Israel 16/1
Mexico January 25th
Ukraine 33/1
Ireland 50/1
Mar-a-Lago 65/1
Gaza 80/1
UK 100/1
This article originally appeared on TriStarDaily.com and was republished with permission.
