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Home » The US adds fewer jobs than expected, and unemployment rate drops to 4%
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The US adds fewer jobs than expected, and unemployment rate drops to 4%

adminBy adminFebruary 7, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read0 Views
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Healthcare, retail and government saw the largest number of new jobs in January.

The US economy added fewer new jobs than expected in January, bringing in lower unemployment and increased wage growth.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the country created upwardly revised jobs in December 2024 to 143,000 jobs.

The consensus forecast shows a payroll extra read of 170,000.

The unemployment rate fell from 4.1% to 4%, falling below economists’ 4.1% expectations.

Workers have experienced greater wage growth to begin 2025. Average hourly revenues increased 0.5% per month from 0.3%. Compared to the previous year, hourly revenue growth rate increased from 3.9% to 4.1%.

Workforce participation rates increased to 62.6%, but the weekly average time fell to 34.1.

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Much of the job creation was concentrated in healthcare (44,000), retail (34,000), government (32,000), and social assistance (22,000). Manufacturing was largely unchanged, adding just 3,000 new positions.

The last two months of employment have been revised higher. The November 2024 Employment Report was adjusted from 49,000 to 261,000, and the December 2024 figure was also revised from 51,000 to 307,000.

In addition to the number of positions in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced a revision of employment levels in 2024. Data confirmed that all months were adjusted downwards and average corrections exceed 600,000.

Officials noted that wildfires in Southern California and severe winter weather that occurred in most of the United States had little impact on job reports or response rates in January.

A deeper dive into employment data highlighted a rise in full-time jobs over 2.3 million, and a decline in part-time jobs by 17,000. Additionally, the number of people doing two or more jobs has skyrocketed from 300,000 to nearly 8.764 million.

The level of employed foreign-born individuals had risen nearly 2 million from January 2024 to January 2025. This has increased the number of US-born workers employed by 766,000.

“Today’s employment report reveals that the Biden economy is far worse than everyone thought, highlighting the need for a pro-President (Donald) Trump policy,” the White House states. stated in.

Market reaction

US stocks had dropped slightly before the opening bell.

The Treasury yield was totally green, with the benchmark 10-year yield exceeding 4.46%.

The US dollar index is the gauge of the back compared to the weighted basket of rival currencies, up up to 0.2%.

Bryce Doty, senior portfolio manager and senior vice president of SIT Investment Associates, said the January employment report could indicate that the Federal Reserve will suspend current rate reduction cycles at current meetings. It says it’s expensive.

“Even though employment was no exception, lower unemployment and a significant increase in wage growth mean that the labor market is still healthy,” Doty emailed memos during the Epoch era. I mentioned it in.

“Expect yields to float higher as investors digest the details,” he added. “However, I don’t think this report is strong enough to bring yields back to recent highs.”

Job growth could slow down, but January is a “noisy month” as holiday employment surges slow down, according to Chris Zaccarelli, chief information officer at Northlight Asset Management.

“We remained cautiously optimistic in early 2025, but this year we see a much more downside potential than the last two years. We are cautious now, and we are risk taking dialbacks. I believe it,” Zaccarelli said in an email. In the Epoch era.

Evaluating the situation

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told reporters at a press conference after last month’s meeting that the US labor market is “stable” and “a wide balance.”

“The labour market is on a sustainable level. It’s not overheating anymore. I don’t think it’s necessary to cool off anymore. We’re looking at it very carefully,” Powell said.

This week’s surge in the labor market presented a complicated picture of employment conditions.

Jobs have left the extension of up to 31.97 million, suggesting that more workers are resigning from their position and are confident in their ability to find other jobs.

Private employment was strong last month. Private companies added 183,000 new jobs, slightly higher than December’s 176,000, according to the ADP National Employment Report. This also surpasses the consensus forecast of 150,000.

“We got off to a strong start in 2025, but we hid the dichotomy in the labour market,” said Nera Richardson, ADP chief economist.

Richardson said the consumer sector pushed for much of its employment last month.

“Employment growth was weak in business services and production,” she said.

Wage growth continued to ease, with median annual pay for employment and job seekers changing to 4.7% and 6.8%, respectively.

Finally, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits rose at a higher pace than expected last week.

The first unemployment claims for the week ending February 1st increased from 11,000 to 219,000, according to the Ministry of Labor.

Continuous unemployment claims – a measure of the number of individuals who have already filed for and are currently receiving unemployment benefits – reached 1886 million from 185 million the previous week.

Unemployment jumped from 4,000 to 216,750, claiming a four-week average to remove weekly volatility.



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